I haven't followed the world of politics closely enough this week to write a post. The World cup has taken over. As an apology I've posted two of my favorite images from Russia so far....
Theresa May managed to almost get all the Lords’ amendments through the Commons last week.
However, the compromise she had to make with the Tory rebels to ensure their compliance on the Meaningful Vote amendment may ultimately lead to her suffering a heavy defeat this Wednesday. if the Lords send back the same amendment she was able to convince Dominic Grieve et all not to support, it is now very unclear they would be willing to back down again.
They believed they had been promised a lot more than what was confirmed by No. 10 after the votes had been completed.
Theresa May had another headache late last week as she suffered a media and a political backlash to her announcement that the NHS will receive a funding increase to the equivalent of 384 million pounds a week.
This figure is very similar to the widely castigated 350 million NHS Brexit bus. In an article last week I wrote that Theresa May could get all the votes through the Commons and still have a terrible June. Nothing last week changed that opinion…
Sinn Fein held their Ard Fheis at the weekend and it seemed to be quite a success with a lot more positive coverage from media in the Republic than typically observed for Sinn Fein events.
I will write an update on the state of play in Irish politics after the next Sunday Business Post poll as then there will be a round of polls that have absorbed any impact from the 8th Amendment referendum.
It feels a little surreal writing this but Angela Merkel’s position is now under serious threat after a week of accusations and rows around immigration in German politics.
I haven’t followed the story closely enough to wrote more here but there seems every chance I could be writing about her resignation this time next week. I almost take it for granted that Theresa May is the sick lady of European politics but outlasting Merkel after May’s own annus horribilis would be quite the accomplishment…
A very short entry this week as hoping to write a few longer posts this week. My only question is on whose side do you think JShinzo Abe from the body language in this picture?
I think Donald Trump in many ways is actually continuing the US foreign policy pivot of moving from the Middle East to Asia .
I don't think this is a conscious move by him, more he sees bigger "prizes" in Asia but it may ultimately prove to be beneficial to the United States, at the price of weakening stability in Eastern Europe and allowing continued political chaos across the Middle East.
From political movements and news yesterday it does look like the meeting will take place between Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un and this could continue this pivot...
A dramatic week in Europe that illustrated to me how potentially unstable the European Union is despite the bright economic outlook.
The political deadlock that followed Italy’s election in March has finally ended. Five Star Movement and Lega have agreed to a coalition that has already captured Europe’s attention.
While neither leader will become Prime Minister, that honour goes to Giuseppe Conte a previously little-known member of the Bureau of Administrative Justice, the self-governing body of administrative magistrates.
The new government will have to overcome a number of challenges and it isn’t clear that the two parties will be able to work together.
Historically, recent Italian coalitions have had such a short lifespan that both sides probably realise they will have to go to the Italian electorate again in the not so distant future.
For that reason, I almost see this as a public perception battle as well as a functioning government. Both leaders will have public perception at the back of their minds as they make major decisions.
I will be closely watching who appears to be gaining the advantage between Luigi Di Maoi and Matteo Salvini as the winner of that battle may be the next “true” Italian Prime Minister…
Mariano Rajoy was forced to step down on Friday after a motion of no confidence was passed by the Spanish Chamber of Deputies.
Despite heading the largest party (the People’s Party have 134 out of 350 seats), Rajoy was undone by a large coalition of the left and regional parties.
Rajoy’s time had undoubtedly come. He had overseen the brutal crackdown in Catalonia and his party was also embroiled in the “Gurtel affair”. Last week, a People’s Party secretary was jailed for 33 years for fraud and money laundering.
However, the fragmented state of Spanish politics means that the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party under the new Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez will struggle to rule (they currently only have 84 seats).
The current government only has two years left to run before elections are necessary but I am very skeptical it will last that long.
The Citizen’s Party is currently leading in the polls (see below) and I can see them doing everything possible to agitate for an early election. They gained a lot of exposure when they won the most seats in the most recent Catalan elections in December.
I believe they may do the same in any Spanish elections and end the short reign of this new socialist-led Spanish government.